WorldA'make or break' year for Ukraine in the war zone is imminent...

A’make or break’ year for Ukraine in the war zone is imminent as another Trump administration approaches.

A’make or break’ year for Ukraine in the war zone is imminent as another Trump administration approaches.

Ukrainian soldiers of the 41st brigade stand in a trench near the frontline, outside Kupiansk, in the Kharkiv region, on Jan. 23, 2024,Ukraine in the war.
Ukrainian soldiers of the 41st brigade stand in a trench near the frontline, outside Kupiansk, in the Kharkiv region, on Jan. 23, 2024.

Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Calif., told NBC News that “there are two states.” “The two-state solution is required.”

LONDON: Diplomatic disagreements about whether to press for a negotiated settlement to end the conflict with Russia seem to be growing during the long, cold winter months when the situation on the battlefield in Ukraine seems to have come to a standstill. Overshadowing any effort towards harmony is the former President Donald Trump.

Since Russian President Vladimir Putin began his invasion about two years ago, Ukraine has benefited greatly from the assistance of the United States and other Western countries, which have given the struggling country in eastern Europe arms, information, and logistical support.

In a direct critique of the views of some of his fellow Republicans earlier this month at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Congressman Darrell Issa, a Republican from California, spoke.

“There are two states,” he told NBC News. “There has to be a two-state solution.” But he said the message was “funding for Ukraine comes with expectations that we have to bring the parties to the negotiating table.”

A Republican split is also evident in the presidential race, where in a recent speech a dismissive Trump accused President Biden of putting “America last” and “Ukraine first.” Nikki Haley, meanwhile, has called for the funding to continue.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., walks to the chamber at the Capitol in Washington, Thursday, Jan. 25, 2024.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., walks to the chamber at the Capitol in Washington, Thursday, Jan. 25, 2024.

However, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., who has been ardently advocating for a bipartisan agreement to approve the border legislation and foreign aid measure, expressed doubts about its likelihood during a special closed-door Republican conference on Wednesday. He informed senators that connecting the two bills might also result in the elimination of over $60 billion in aid to Ukraine, citing GOP resistance to its provisions, an individual with knowledge of the talks told NBC News.

However, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., who has been ardently advocating for a bipartisan agreement to approve the border legislation and foreign aid measure, expressed doubts about its likelihood during a special closed-door Republican conference on Wednesday. He informed senators that connecting the two bills might also result in the elimination of over $60 billion in aid to Ukraine, citing GOP resistance to its provisions, an individual with knowledge of the talks told NBC News.

In an attempt to use the immigration debate as a springboard to criticize Biden on the campaign road, Trump has been pressuring congressional GOP members to defeat the aid to Ukraine bill, despite the fact House Republican leaders have been expressing their doubts about it for months.

At a meeting earlier this month that was attended by National Security Advisors from 81 nations, four senior diplomats told NBC News that voices from the Global South pushed harder than ever for negotiations.

At a meeting earlier this month that was attended by National Security Advisors from 81 nations, four senior diplomats told NBC News that voices from the Global South pushed harder than ever for negotiations.

Additionally, there was support for diplomatic discussions including Russia at the World Economic Forum in Davos, despite the fact that Putin has not publicly stated that he is prepared to negotiate with Ukraine and that some have questioned whether he would uphold any agreements that are made.

Rescuers work at the scene of a building damaged by a Russian rocket attack in Kharkiv, Ukraine, Tuesday, Jan. 23, 2024.
Rescuers work at the scene of a building damaged by a Russian rocket attack in Kharkiv, Ukraine, Tuesday, Jan. 23, 2024.

According to Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al-Saud, “I realize how difficult it is but, in the end, there will have to be a negotiated settlement,” in an interview. We believe that this confrontation has already lasted far too long. And it’s best if it ends as quickly as possible.

Nigeria has been “emphatic in condemning the violation of Ukraine’s territorial integrity, but I think it’s gone beyond that now,” stated Yusuf Tuggar, the country’s foreign minister.

In other places, nations like China and India have adopted a more neutral posture while increasing their purchases of Russian energy that is being sold at a discount on international markets as Western nations buy less. China released a 12-point peace proposal in March that was rejected by the United States and its allies as being too favorable to Russia.

Karin von Hippel, the director general of the London-based think tank Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), referred to them as “the abstainers.” “Countries that are balancing their support for Ukraine with energy agreements with Russia”

Putin has increased military gear production and negotiated for arms and other help from North Korea and Iran after putting Russia’s economy on a war footing.

Ukraine’s long-term fighting capacity is in doubt in the absence of financial support from the United States and its Western partners.

“If the United States cuts off all military assistance and Europe follows suit, a Russian conquest of all of Ukraine is by no means impossible,” the Washington-based think tank Institute for the Study of War stated in a paper titled “The High Price of Losing Ukraine” last month.

It stated that Russia may “pose a major conventional military threat to NATO for the first time since the 1990s” and that “such an outcome would bring a battered but triumphant Russian army right up to NATO’s border from the Black Sea to the Arctic Ocean.”

Prior to Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine declared that his country “will reclaim its territory and its people.” In the same year, his forces started fighting separatists backed by Moscow in the eastern Donbas region. The area was taken over by the Kremlin a year ago.

The once-heralded international leader may find any negotiations politically challenging because public interest in his nation has decreased significantly since the October outbreak of the Israel-Hamas conflict.

Zelenskyy issued a warning the media during his speech at Davos, stating that withholding funds would be “a terrible, terrifying experiment” with Russia. He declared, “I wouldn’t advise any experiments with this.”

Despite stating that “Ukraine will work with whoever is elected” in the United States, he went on to say that “radical voices really scare the society in Ukraine” and that these voices made up a “significant part” of the Republican Party, which includes Trump.

He might have the best chance if Biden were to win a second term. Sen. Chris Coons, D-Del., who co-chaired Biden’s campaign, also spoke at Davos and stated: “We’re not going to say, ‘Zelenskyy you need to negotiate.'” We firmly believe in the security and sovereignty of Ukraine. We will help Ukraine maintain its current borders and advance where it is able to.

At RUSI, according to von Hippel, “America’s stance remains a deciding factor.” She stated that if an agreement was reached, “security guarantees would need to be included.”

— ENDS —

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