
A depression over the southeast Bay of Bengal has intensified into a deep depression and is likely to develop into a cyclonic storm within the next few hours, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Sunday, november 1, 2026. The developing weather system is expected to move towards the Andhra Pradesh coast, with the possibility of making landfall on the morning of November 3.
The IMD has warned that the system could cross the Andhra Pradesh coastline as a severe cyclonic storm, bringing wind speeds of 100 to 110 kmph, with gusts reaching 120 kmph. The likely landfall area is between Nellore and Narsapur in Andhra Pradesh.
The developing storm comes just days after Cyclone Arnab affected Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and other parts of southern India. The latest forecast has put coastal authorities and residents on alert as the state continues relief and recovery work in areas affected by the previous cyclone.
According to the IMD, the system was centred over the southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal early Sunday morning. It was moving west-northwestwards and had intensified significantly over the previous six hours.
Deep Depression Over Bay of Bengal: What Has the IMD Said?
In its latest bulletin issued on Sunday morning, the IMD confirmed that the depression over the southeast Bay of Bengal had strengthened into a deep depression.
The weather system moved west-northwestwards at a speed of approximately 23 kmph during the six hours preceding the 5:30 am observation on November 1.
At 5:30 am IST, the deep depression was centred near latitude 11.5°N and longitude 86.4°E over the southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal.
The IMD placed the system at approximately:
- 700 km east-southeast of Chennai, Tamil Nadu.
- 770 km south-southeast of Visakhapatnam, Andhra Pradesh.
- 770 km southeast of Machilipatnam, Andhra Pradesh.
- 810 km east-southeast of Ongole, Andhra Pradesh.
The system’s movement towards the west-northwest is important because it places the Andhra Pradesh coastline within its projected path. The IMD expects further intensification and has indicated that the depression is likely to become a cyclonic storm.
The department has also warned that the system could strengthen further before reaching the coast. Its latest forecast indicates the possibility of severe cyclonic storm conditions during landfall.
Cyclone ‘Murasu’: Expected Landfall on November 3
If the deep depression develops into a cyclonic storm as forecast, it will be named Murasu. The name means “drum” in Tamil.
IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra said the department expected the system to intensify into a cyclonic storm and move towards the Andhra Pradesh coastline. He also indicated that there was a possibility of further strengthening into a severe cyclonic storm.
According to the forecast, the system is very likely to cross the Andhra Pradesh coast between Nellore and Narsapur by the morning of Tuesday, November 3.
The projected wind conditions during landfall are:
- Sustained wind speed: 100 to 110 kmph.
- Maximum gusts: Up to 120 kmph.
- Expected landfall window: Morning of November 3.
- Likely coastal stretch: Between Nellore and Narsapur in Andhra Pradesh.
These wind speeds indicate the potential for damage to trees, electricity infrastructure, temporary structures and other exposed assets. Coastal communities, fishermen and people living in vulnerable areas may face additional risks as the system approaches land.
However, the projected intensity and landfall details remain subject to changes in the weather system’s movement and development. The IMD’s subsequent bulletins will provide updated information about the cyclone’s track, strength and expected impact.
Why Will the Storm Be Named Murasu?
The name Murasu will be assigned if the developing deep depression strengthens into a cyclonic storm. Tropical cyclones in the North Indian Ocean are named according to a system maintained by the regional meteorological body responsible for the basin.
Under this system, countries in the region contribute names that are used sequentially when qualifying cyclonic storms develop over the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal.
Murasu is a Tamil word meaning “drum”. The name is part of the regional cyclone-naming list and does not indicate anything about the storm’s expected intensity or potential damage.
The naming process helps meteorological departments, disaster management agencies and the public identify individual storms clearly during forecasts and emergency communications.
Cyclone Arnab Had Recently Affected Andhra Pradesh
The latest weather system is approaching Andhra Pradesh shortly after Cyclone Arnab affected the state and other parts of southern India. The back-to-back weather developments have increased concerns about the challenges of managing another severe storm while recovery work is still underway.
Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister N Chandrababu Naidu said he had visited cyclone-affected areas to assess the damage and understand the difficulties faced by residents and farmers.
In a post on X on Friday, Naidu said he visited Narasapuram and Mogalthur in West Godavari district on the second day after the cyclone. He also interacted with affected families and farmers to hear about the losses they had suffered.
The chief minister said the government would stand by every affected family and ensure that relief measures reached those who had experienced damage.
He also said the administration would continue working until normalcy was fully restored in the affected areas.
Government Continues Relief and Recovery Work
Naidu’s statement highlighted the difficulties faced by residents and farmers in cyclone-hit areas. Damage to homes, agricultural land and local infrastructure can affect livelihoods long after a storm has weakened or moved away.
The chief minister said the government machinery would remain engaged in relief and recovery operations. He assured affected residents that the administration would address reported losses and provide support to families facing difficulties.
The possibility of another cyclone reaching the state makes preparedness particularly important. Authorities may need to coordinate emergency arrangements while continuing assistance in areas affected by Cyclone Arnab.
November Weather Forecast: Below-Normal Rainfall and Higher Temperatures
Apart from tracking the developing cyclone, the IMD has also issued a broader outlook for weather conditions across India during November.
According to IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, most parts of the country are likely to experience below-normal rainfall and above-normal temperatures during the month.
The forecast suggests that rainfall across much of India may remain lower than the long-period average. At the same time, temperatures are expected to stay above normal across several regions.
These conditions could influence agricultural activities, water availability and everyday weather patterns. However, the developing cyclonic system may bring intense rainfall and strong winds to parts of the east coast, even if the country’s overall monthly rainfall remains below normal.
Regional weather conditions can differ significantly from the national outlook, particularly when a tropical cyclone approaches the coastline. Residents in Andhra Pradesh and neighbouring areas should therefore follow local forecasts rather than relying only on the broader monthly prediction.
What Should People in Coastal Andhra Pradesh Watch For?
With the deep depression moving towards the Andhra Pradesh coast, residents in potentially affected districts should monitor official weather updates and local administration advisories.
The forecast wind speeds of 100 to 110 kmph, with gusts reaching 120 kmph, could create hazardous conditions along the coastline and in exposed areas.
People in vulnerable locations should pay attention to warnings about possible evacuation, temporary shelter arrangements and restrictions on movement. Fishermen should follow official instructions concerning sea conditions and fishing activities.
Residents can also take basic precautions ahead of the storm:
- Follow IMD bulletins and official instructions issued by local authorities.
- Avoid entering the sea or undertaking fishing activities when restrictions are in force.
- Secure loose objects, temporary structures and outdoor equipment that could be displaced by strong winds.
- Keep essential medicines, drinking water, food, batteries and emergency supplies ready.
- Stay away from damaged electrical lines, flooded roads and unstable structures.
- Follow evacuation instructions if authorities identify an area as unsafe.
People should avoid spreading unverified information about the cyclone’s track or intensity. Official updates are important because forecasts can change as meteorologists receive new observations and assess the system’s movement.
What Happens Next?
The deep depression over the Bay of Bengal is expected to intensify further as it moves west-northwestwards towards the Andhra Pradesh coast. The IMD has forecast that it could become Cyclone Murasu and potentially cross the coastline between Nellore and Narsapur on the morning of November 3.
The projected severe cyclonic storm conditions, with sustained winds of 100 to 110 kmph and gusts reaching 120 kmph, make the next few days important for coastal preparedness.
The approaching system also presents an additional challenge for Andhra Pradesh, where authorities are continuing relief efforts following Cyclone Arnab. The state government and disaster management agencies will need to monitor the latest forecasts and prepare for the possibility of another round of strong winds and heavy rainfall.
The IMD’s subsequent bulletins will be crucial in determining the storm’s final track, intensity and likely landfall conditions. Until then, residents in coastal districts should remain alert and follow instructions issued by official agencies.
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